NCAA Tournament March Madness

#260 Missouri St

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Projection: need to automatically qualify

Missouri State's resume reads like a team that can hang around in tight games at home yet struggles to close the gap against better competition on the road, which explains where they sit now. The high point is the home win over UTRGV and a very close outing with Arkansas State that showed fight, but those moments are undermined by ugly defeats at UT Arlington and at Tulsa that highlight a troubling inability to handle hostile environments. There are no marquee wins away from campus, so the remaining portion of the schedule — including trips to Xavier, Liberty, WKU, MTSU and New Mexico State and home opportunities against Oral Roberts, Lindenwood and Delaware — is the real crucible. If Missouri State can convert road or neutral chances against the stronger names on that slate and avoid further blowouts in league play, the resume improves; if those opportunities slip away, the current standing is likely to hold.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/11Arkansas St149L86-85
11/15@UT Arlington168L67-49
11/22UTRGV187W74-67
11/24LIU Brooklyn234L75-61
12/6@Tulsa80L98-74
12/12@Xavier838%
12/16Oral Roberts29568%
12/23Lindenwood24959%
12/29@Delaware23334%
1/2UTEP23556%
1/4New Mexico St13334%
1/7@Kennesaw16623%
1/10Florida Intl18146%
1/14@WKU14719%
1/17@MTSU15521%
1/22@New Mexico St13316%
1/24@UTEP23534%
1/28Sam Houston St12130%
1/31Jacksonville St23956%
2/7@Liberty11313%
2/12Louisiana Tech18948%
2/14Delaware23356%
2/18Kennesaw16643%
2/21@Florida Intl18126%
2/26@Louisiana Tech18927%
2/28@Sam Houston St12114%
3/5WKU14738%
3/7MTSU15541%