NCAA Tournament March Madness

#206 Missouri St

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Projection: need to automatically qualify

Missouri State looks like a team that will have to lean on Conference USA's automatic berth because its résumé lacks a true signature win and is burdened by ugly results away from home. The best moments are a home win over New Mexico State, a convincing road victory at Delaware, and solid home results against UTEP and Lindenwood, but those wins come against modest opponents and a narrow triumph over Oral Roberts does little to elevate the profile. The worst moments are countable and damaging: heavy defeats at Xavier and Tulsa, road setbacks at WKU and Middle Tennessee, and nonconference stumbles that leave the road résumé thin. The remaining schedule hands them several home opportunities to pad the ledger and a few dangerous road tests such as trips to Liberty and a return to New Mexico State where a road or neutral-site statement would change perceptions, yet without a marquee win away from campus they look unlikely to satisfy a committee and thus appear to need the conference tournament to secure an NCAA spot.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/11Arkansas St154L86-85
11/15@UT Arlington143L67-49
11/22UTRGV199W74-67
11/24LIU Brooklyn212L75-61
12/6@Tulsa59L98-74
12/12@Xavier87L75-57
12/16Oral Roberts310W63-62
12/23Lindenwood246W70-65
12/29@Delaware297W61-43
1/2UTEP279W79-55
1/4New Mexico St124W89-82
1/7@Kennesaw159L90-80
1/10Florida Intl185W79-71
1/14@WKU169L87-72
1/17@MTSU132L90-87
1/22@New Mexico St12422%
1/24@UTEP27954%
1/28Sam Houston St11038%
1/31Jacksonville St23566%
2/7@Liberty9415%
2/12Louisiana Tech24868%
2/14Delaware29778%
2/18Kennesaw15951%
2/21@Florida Intl18535%
2/26@Louisiana Tech24846%
2/28@Sam Houston St11019%
3/5WKU16954%
3/7MTSU13244%